Chaos Rising is a hype set with danger baked in
Chaos Rising has all the ingredients that make Pokémon collectors lose discipline: a May 22 launch, more than 120 cards, Mega Evolution branding, and the kind of chase tier that looks built for thumbnails.
That is exactly why you need a plan before launch week. The set can be exciting and still be a bad box-buying strategy. Those two things can both be true.
Chaos Rising has the kind of chase-card hype that can punish undisciplined buying.
Target the cards, not the feeling
The worst way to approach a set like this is to say, 'I just want to pull something big.' That is how you end up chasing the feeling instead of the card.
Make the list first. Which chase actually matters to you? Which art do you want long term? Which cards are just launch-week noise? If you cannot answer that before buying packs, the market is going to answer it for you, and it usually answers expensively.
Wait out the first wave
The first 72 hours are almost always stupid. Breakers are loud, supply is uneven, everyone is trying to price the top hits before enough product has even been opened. That is not the moment to make calm decisions.
If you want singles, watch the first week instead of buying into it. Let supply hit. Let the panic settle. Let the real chase tier separate from the cards that were only expensive because nobody had copies yet.